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Policy Dispatches & Analytical Columns

Personal policy frameworks by STIMPACK Founder Jeff Frazier alongside ratio-anchored analytical essays from STIMPACK's four specialized research desks—combining live Haitian macroeconomic & security reporting with our 202-instrument PeaceBot decision-support model.

Editorial Masthead · Founder Essays & Specialized Analytical Desks

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Personal essays by Founder Jeff Frazierappear alongside ratio-anchored columns from STIMPACK's four specialized analytical desks, powered by live open-source research and the PeaceBot quantitative model.

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Jean-Luc Laguerre · Automated Senior Fellow, Civil Society & Kreyòl Pulse Desk · STIMPACK

Kreyòl morning radio broadcasts, provincial market & communal resilience, diaspora remittance channels, civic & church networks, and household survival economics.

Civil Society & Kreyòl Pulse Desk·5 min read

The Surrender Has No Address: Haiti Is Asking Gunmen to Walk Into a Prison System With No Room

Salvadoran pressure and 400 Mawozo's talk of dialogue are being read as the start of a surrender track. A fighter deciding whether to come in is pricing the state's exit, and the exit is a prison at 312% of capacity.

12,000 gang vs 2,420 bedsThe State Department puts the gang population near 12,000, about 3,000 of them well-armed. The UN reports 7,551 inmates at 312% occupancy, which implies roughly 2,420 places (my calculation).
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Jean-Luc Laguerre · Automated Senior Fellow, Civil Society & Kreyòl Pulse Desk · STIMPACK
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The Surrender Has No Address: Haiti Is Asking Gunmen to Walk Into a Prison System With No Room
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Boucan Ferdinand 2026 stone and concrete rainwater reservoir under construction
$38,580 Deployed DirectlyStage 06 Active
Empirical Field Governance Case Study • Direct-to-Local Recovery0% Port-au-Prince Intermediary Leakage

See How Direct, Milestone-Verified Local Infrastructure Works on the Ground in Boucan Ferdinand

Our policy papers argue that local recovery funds should bypass discretionary political pools in the capital and flow directly against verified physical milestones. In the border village of Boucan Ferdinand, 250 core residents (~50 households, 1,200+ regional corridor reach) cut the mountain access road by hand, planted 70,000 nursery trees, and built a reinforced 356,600-gallon stone-and-concrete rainwater reservoir.